Super Bowl LX|Seahawks vs. Patriots: Game Odds, Preview & Best Choices

One game left. Winner take all. The Seattle Seahawks will face off with the New England Patriots this Sunday in Super Bowl LX; live from Levi Stadium in Santa Clara, California

With this being the biggest video game of the year, there was no other way I could cover this alone. Thankfully, our very own Danny Burke volunteered to assist take on the weight and break down Super Bowl LX.

Excitement is in the air so let's jump right into the big game.

For additional details on picks, props, moneylines, and more for Super Bowl LX, have a look at our NFL Picks Page or our NFL Odds Page.

Game Information

Matchup Information

- Location: Levi Stadium; Santa Clara, California.

• Date: Sunday, February 8th, 2026
• Kickoff: 6:30 PM EST
  
  Quarterback Matchup
  
  - Seattle Seahawks: Sam Darnold (2025: 16-3|237.8 YPG|29 TD|14 INT).
• New England Patriots: Drake Maye (2025: 17-3|246.4 YPG|35 TD|10 INT)
  
  Analysis & Breakdown
  
  What's the Patriot Way? Winning video games, no matter how unsightly it gets.
  
  Recently's matchup with the Broncos was precisely that. It was cold, snowy and winds were blowing every which way. The video game saw less than 400 overall lawns in between the two groups, simply 17 overall points and a scoreless fourth quarter.
  
  Drake Maye threw for a season low 86 lawns, finished less than 50% of his passes, however he did run in the one and only Patriots touchdown. Against Houston, Maye tossed for 179 lawns, 3 touchdowns, 1 interception and he lost 2 fumbles.
  
  In the postseason, Maye's played 3 games and he's finishing simply 55.8% of his passes, averaging 177.7 pass backyards per game, with 4 goal passes and 5 overall turnovers. It hasn't been pretty, however that's why there's 2 sides of the football.
  
  New England leads all playoff teams in opponent points enabled (8.7/ video game), challenger lawns (208.7/ game), takeaways (8) and sacks (12.0 ). During the regular season, this defense ranks 4th in points allowed, 9th in pass backyards permitted and with Christian Gonzalez back on the field; among the most feared corners in the game.
  
  The Patriots are built to win ugly, but their likewise constructed to win quite. Maye's been an MVP prospect for many of the year and he's simply in his very first year as the team's full time starter. This game's shaping up to be one for the books and I could not be more ecstatic.
  
  The Seahawks have been phenomenal on both sides of the ball, however without this defense it's hard to imagine a world in which they make it this far. The Hawks rank 1st in points enabled, 1st in opponent EPA/play (-0.113 ), 3rd in challenger rush yards and second in opponent backyards per play. They have actually got the the 5th best redzone defense, rank 6th in overall sacks and have actually required the 5th most turnovers.
  
  Both their protection system and defensive line have actually been graded in the top 5 this year and the mastermind behind everything is Head Coach Mike Macdonald. In simply his second year as a head coach, Macdonald's developed among the toughest defenses in the NFL and his protective playbook is much deeper than some offending playbooks I have actually seen.
  
  On the offensive side, it's been a Klint Kubiak masterclass. He's running this Seahawks offense to excellence and it's cause the NFL's 3rd best offense, averaging 28.4 points per game. The team ranks 8th in pass lawns, 10th in rush yards and 3rd in backyards per play. The issue with Seattle's offense has been Sam Darnold's turnovers.
  
  Darnold lead the league with 20 total turnovers, 14 interceptions and 6 fumbles lost. If not for his defense requiring 25 turnovers of their own, this Seahawks team might look extremely various. Darnold certainly appeared like a top 10 QB this year but the turnover problems are something to keep an eye on entering into the big game.
  
  Varun's Best Bets
  
  Mack Hollins o24.5 Receiving Yards (-110)|Lucky Rebel
  
  Mack Hollins made his go back to the field last week and in spite of seeing just 2 targets, he attracted both for 51 backyards in the freezing temperature levels of Denver, Colorado. Hollins has actually likewise cleared this line in 9 of his L11 games, balancing 5.3 targets and 50.8 receiving backyards per video game.
  
  Hollins and Maye have actually developed a connection that's been a load of fun to see and one that generally includes usage of the deep ball. He's seeing an average depth of target of 13.3 yards/target, he hasn't dropped a single ball this season and he's getting a majority of his snaps out wide.
  
  Maye ended up the year top-10 in deep toss rate and Hollins sits second on the team in targets of 20+ yards. The Seahawks are giving up almost 70% of their getting production to outdoors pass receivers this year and it's why this line simply feels a bit low.
  
  Byron Murphy II to Record a Sack (+170)|Lucky Rebel
  
  Might sound a little strange in the beginning, however Byron Murphy II remains in his second year in the NFL and he's been fantastic. He's got 7.0 sacks on the year and despite not tape-recording a sack so far in the postseason, he's been a key part of this protective line. Murphy leads the Seahawks in pass rush win rate so far in the playoffs and he's had the ability to create 7 pressures doing it; just no sacks.
  
  Murphy's likewise playing on the best side of that protective line, at the DT spot. The Patriots have actually offered up 5 sacks so far in the postseason and 67% of those sacks have actually originated from the left side of that offending line. During the regular season it was more of the very same, of the 73% of sacks that could be associated to the offending line, 45% of that came from the left side; primarily from the interior.
  
  The kid's due to record his very first postseason sack and what much better game to do in.
  
  Danny's Best options
  
  We have actually lastly made it to the big game. It's constantly a bittersweet feeling during the two-week lead-up to the Super Bowl, but hopefully we're in for a heck of a video game. And of course, with it comes a myriad of betting chances.
  
  I likewise took a couple of shots in the Super Bowl MVP market. You can click here for a more extensive breakdown of the gamers I'll be sweating to take home the award.
  
  Kenneth Walker o20.5 Receiving Yards (-114)|Lucky Rebel
  
  The first bet I placed was Kenneth Walker to discuss his 20.5 receiving lawn line. Walker has actually played a meaningful function in the death game for much of the season, but we have actually seen a noticeable uptick in that involvement considering that his backfield mate, Zach Charbonnet, went down with an injury in the NFC Divisional Round.
  
  In that video game, Sam Darnold targeted Walker three times. He caught all 3 passes and turned them into 29 lawns. In the NFC National Championship, Walker carried in all 4 of his targets for 49 backyards versus the Rams. He's directly gaining from constant volume, and when Darnold feels pressure in the backfield - which he should, given the protective technique we're likely to see from New England - he'll aim to check the ball down to one of his leading playmakers.
  
  Walker has actually been outstanding at producing area in the death video game, and I expect more of the very same in the Super Bowl. During the routine season, opposing running backs balanced over 30 receiving backyards on approximately five catches per game against the Patriots. They have actually revealed vulnerability to backs through the air, which sets Walker approximately make an impact because department.
  
  Sam Darnold o2.5 Rushing Attempts (+115)|Lucky Rebel
  
  Credit to our resident intern, Alex Bohling, for screaming this one out on among our shows recently. The rate is sitting as high as +115, which is appealing on its own, but the course to the over is there as well.
  
  While mobility isn't usually related to Darnold, we have actually seen him use his legs more often as of late. He logged three brings in the AFC Championship Game, none in the Divisional Round blowout where scrambling wasn't essential, and he closed the regular season on a five-game streak with at least three rushing efforts in each contest.
  
  One crucial element here is the potential for kneel-downs. I'm anticipating the Seahawks to win this game, which opens the door for those late-game rushing attempts to help push this prop over the number if Darnold does not arrive through scrambles previously.
  
  More From Danny
  
  As for the video game overall, as I mentioned, I do think the Seahawks come out on top. That said, the recent improvements from this New England defense provide me some time out when it pertains to laying -4.5 with Seattle preflop.
  
  I'm not completely convinced the Patriots defense is as dominant as it's examined the past month, or if that's just been a by-product of their competition. New England played the league's most convenient schedule during the routine season and graded out as more of a typical defense in general, but they've shown a noticeable uptick in the postseason - especially in the red zone.
  
  Nevertheless, the Seahawks are the more total group, and I still expect them to end up on top. Instead of laying the number pregame, I'll be wanting to live and hopefully grab a better number than -4.5.
  
  Searching for More
  
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